Friday, October 1, 2010

Week 4 Picks

Well, it's two weeks in a row of 9-7, which, admittedly, certainly does hurt my pride. But, why do we fall? So we can learn to pick ourselves up. I'll try to pick myself up in week 4 and put up a big number. There are 14 games this week as the teams start to get their bye week; the Cowboys, Vikings, Bucs, and Chiefs will get the week off. And now, week 4 in the league where they play......for pay...



New York Jets (2-1) @ Buffalo Bills (0-3) - This is one of those games that looks fairly easy to pick. The Jets have put forth two solid efforts in a row in beating fellow division rivals New England and Miami. The Bills put up 30 on New England last week in Foxboro, but they gave up 38. Buffalo struggles to move the ball and against the Jet defense they will continue to struggle to move the ball even if the Jets are without CB Darrelle Revis. Bills rookie RB CJ Spiller will find the sledding much tougher against the Jet defense, which is 4th against the run. Pick: NEW YORK JETS


Baltimore Ravens (2-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) - This could be the best game of the weekend and if you like a hard-hitting, physical game, then make sure you watch this game. Both defenses are outstanding and the offenses are going to struggle in this one. The Steelers will be starting Charlie Batch at QB in their last game before Ben Roethlisberger comes back from his 4 game suspension. There is a huge discrepancy in the turnover margins for these two teams, the Ravens are -6 and the Steelers +6, so that should help keep this game close as well. Pick: BALTIMORE

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) @ Cleveland Browns (0-3) - The undercard in the AFC North battles will be closer than the records indicate it should be. I don't think it is going to be high scoring and because of that you have to give the Browns at least a chance. I really don't have any strong feelings on this game, but I think the Bengals are the best bet here. Pick: CINCINNATI

Denver Broncos (1-2) @ Tennessee Titans (2-1) - This should be an interesting matchup as both defenses do a good job against what the opposing offense does best; Denver possesses one of the most prolific passing attacks and Chris Johnson gives Tennessee one of the best running games in the league. Tennessee's defense is much better than Denver's and I think they'll keep Kyle Orton and the Broncos grounded while Chris Johnson will move the Titans to the victory. Pick: TENNESSEE

Carolina Panthers (0-3) @ New Orleans Saints (2-1) - There is no way that the anemic Panthers led by a rookie QB will be able to go into the dome and knock off a Saints team coming off a loss. Laissez les bons temps rouler! Pick: NEW ORLEANS

Detroit Lions (0-3) @ Green Bay Packers (2-1) - I almost took the Lions last week over Minnesota and the Lions almost made me look like a bigger idiot than I am. I still think the Lions are improving, but they are not going into Lambeau and beating Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. Pick: GREEN BAY

Seattle Seahawks (2-1) @ St. Louis Rams (1-2) - The Rams got their first win of the year and dispatched Washington fairly easily. Speaking of Washington, Leon Washington had 2 kickoff returns for touchdowns for Seattle last week and stole momentum back for Seattle after the Chargers came back from being down big early. Again, another game I don't have a great feel for, so I'll go with the experienced QB in the Seahawks Matt Hasselbeck. Pick: SEATTLE

San Francisco 49ers (0-3) @ Atlanta Falcons (2-1) - Well, if the 49ers are going to have a season, then they're going to have to go into Atlanta and get a W, which makes them a desperate team and therefore a volatile pick. For Atlanta, this could set up to be a let down game after their huge victory over the Saints last week. Even still, the Falcons have the better quarterback and they don't turn the ball over as much as San Francisco. Pick: ATLANTA

Houston Texans (2-1) @ Oakland Raiders (1-2) - The Raiders have a tough defense and a cornerback, Nnamdi Asomugha, who is fully capable of shutting down Texans WR Andre Johnson. That may be true, but the Raiders cannot stop the run and the Texans have one of the best so far at this stage of the season in Arian Foster. Pick: HOUSTON

Indianapolis Colts (2-1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) - Peyton Manning plays for the Colts, that should be enough of a reason to take them here...and the Jaguars give up A LOT of yards through the air. Pick: INDIANAPOLIS

Washington Redskins (1-2) @ Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) - Donovan McNabb makes his return to Philadelphia after 11 seasons with the Eagles. Michael Vick has been outstanding and has already made fans in Philadelphia forget about McNabb's replacement, Kevin Kolb, who played all of 2 quarters. Surely, McNabb will be motivated to have a big game, but Vick and the Eagles are looking too good right now. Pick: PHILADELPHIA

Arizona Cardinals (2-1) @ San Diego Chargers (1-2) - The Cardinals are fortunate to be 2-1 and they can thank Raiders K Sebastian Janikowski for that as Janikowski missed a chip shot field goal as time expired to seal up the victory for Arizona last week. If San Diego can avoid turning the ball over, they should come away level at 2-2 and ready to make another run at the AFC West title. Pick: SAN DIEGO

Chicago Bears (3-0) @ New York Giants (1-2) - Much like the Chargers, if the Giants can protect the football, there is no reason they can't win this game; they'll also have to cut down on the personal fouls. The Giant pass rush is fully capable of wreaking havoc all night for Bears QB Jay Cutler, which could produce turnovers for New York. The Giants and Tom Coughlin are at a crossroads this week, much like they were in week 3 in Washington when they won the Super Bowl in 2007, and they came through that with a victory. I think this team will come out motivated to get past the turmoil of the past couple weeks and get the season back on track. If they don't, then the calls for Coughlin's head will no doubt grow louder, which would be extremely unfair given the success the team has enjoyed under his watch. Pick: NEW YORK GIANTS

Monday Night Football

New England Patriots (2-1) @ Miami Dolphins (2-1) - Tom Brady seems to struggle against the Dolphins and the Patriots have struggled in pass defense, which the Dolphins should be able to exploit. Pick: MIAMI and 49 points

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